Thursday, January 16, 2014

Understanding the Nature and Scope of Anti-Corruption Movement in India



[Wrote in Dec.2011-Jan.2012]
The movement for creation of institution of Lokpal, spearheahed by an infant organization named India Against Corruption or popularly known as Team Anna, has provoked most of the sections in the Indian society to react and position themselves vis-à-vis this movement. This is the third wave of mass discontent against ‘establishment’ in independent India. The first instance was Jayprakash Narain’s popular movement against the Congress Party’s government at the centre and its various state governments in the decade of 1970s. The second momentum was V.P. Singh’s courageous decision to take on Rajiv Gandhi’s government; in which he served as Foreign Minister, Finance Minister and Defence Minister at one point of time or the other, on the issue of kickbacks in purchasing of Bofors guns for Indian Army. All the three waves of mass discontent at the national level emerged focusing on issues of corruption at the high offices, while rising inflation added fuel to the people’s anger. 
First Wave of Mass Discontent   
The J.P. movement that began against corruption at high places turned into movement for restoration of democracy in India once the then Prime Minister Indira Gandhi clamped national emergency in 1975 citing internal disturbances as the main cause. This movement was a combination of: right-wing Congress factions who unsuccessfully challenged Indira Gandhi’s leadership and were eventually thrown out of the Congress Party; the land lords and upper strata of social forces that earlier formed the Swantra Party championing free economy; the Jan Sangh backed by the Rashtriya Swaymsevak Sangh (RSS) that has been seeking alteration of Indian polity on ultra-nationalist ideology; the socialist followers of Ram Manohar Lohia; and not the least – the party-less Jayprakash Narain riding high on the shoulders of thousands of idealist youth who wanted to make India an egalitarian and inclusive society. A significant section of the Left, particularly Communist Party of India (Marxist) [CPI(M)], overtly took anti-Congress position after commencement of emergency arguing subversion of human and democratic rights by the authoritarian regime. Muslims in India, for the first time since independence, and so as sizable sections of Dalit in north and east India disserted ranks of Congress Party. Reason for Muslims was said to be the forceful implementation of sterilization programme during the emergency; and for Dalit it was chance for the popular leader Babu Jagjivan Ram to become the Prime Minister, the social revolution in itself. This movement was also powered by the beneficiaries of green revolution, the rich and middle level farmers most of whom belonged to the intermediate castes in Hindu social hierarchy. It had galvanized India’s east, west and north alike – politically and socially. However, the north-eastern part and northern most state of Jammu and Kashmir had little impact of the national churning. Similarly, the Southern States remained engulfed in their respective dynamics, although it could not remain aloof from the long term repercussions of the electoral defeat of the grand old Congress Party, the first ever since the establishment of the Republic. Although the first wave of mass discontent emerged out of sentiments against the corruption, it has contributed nothing in terms of curbing corruption at high places. On the other hand, its socio-political effects were different and far reaching.
            The most important result of 1970s movement has been deepening and widening of consciousness against subversion of democratic institutions in general and of Parliament and elections in particular. The opinion generated against authoritarianism, as vindicated in the 1977 general elections, has been so strong that it had put to rest any speculation of India either going the one-party rule, particularly seen in countries of the then communist block, or the military dictatorship being witnessed in some of the South and South-East Asian countries. A related, and equally important development, was collapse of the myth of invincibility of the Congress Party. The TINA factor, There Is No Alternative, forever disappeared from Indian polity. The second important result was emergence of RSS-backed political force at the power centre. Although, Jan Sangh was merged into Janata Party, its leaders and cadres did not severe ties with RSS and continued to practice their core ideology. The partial taste of power in the form of Janata Party government at the centre enthused confidence among RSS ideologues of possibility of emerging as a key national player in some form or the other and ways of implementing their agenda.  Thirdly, the Left, in the form of CPI(M), emerged as a viable force and succeeded in constructing political bastion in one of the most populous states of India – West Bengal. The massive popularity of the Left Front in West Bengal for many years since 1977 had unquestionably its roots in taking up fight against authoritarianism at the Centre and semi-fascistic rule of Congress in the state. Fourth, politically and socially marginalized sections began to assess importance of their vote and also their bargaining power. Realization that weakest of the weak can defeat the strongest political entity, empowered the masses to have larger social implications. It has paved the way for formation of identity based politics, particularly in the vast Hindi heartland. Fifth, and quite different, implication was dissociation of many of the youth, of those inspired by J.P.’s ideology of Total Revolution, from electoral politics. Many of them, in turn, have chosen to work among different communities in poor, rural or remote areas; mostly on the issues of their livelihood and sustainable development that includes education, environment and health. Some others followed their suit in following years, thus, creating an un-ignorable network of voluntary organizations and activists commanding respects among their people.  
Second Wave of Mass Discontent   
Implications of the second wave of mass discontent in late 1980s have been consolidification of many of the repercussions of the first wave on the one hand; and emergence of complex social, economic and political factors to change the landscape of Indian polity on the other hand. First of all, Congress Party was further weakened. Since then, Congress has been unable to muster simple majority in Lok Sabha elections on its own; and also forced to enter into political coalitions at the centre. Secondly, Jan Sangh’s successor, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), emerged as one of the two largest political parties in India. This emergence has been marked by intense communal divide in society and further political marginalization of Muslims in national politics. Third, as a paradox to rise of Hindu right-wing, social identity based politics has become an important feature of Indian polity. At a policy level, political consensus emerged on providing reservations in jobs and education to historically deprived and marginalized castes and social groups in Hindu society. Fourth, the Left Parties gained importance at the national level as king-maker as 3 of the total 7 Union Governments since 1989 could have been formed with the Left’s outside support. Like the first wave, the right wing BJP, the socialist followers of Lohia and the J.P., the Dalit and Other Backward Castes (OBCs), Muslims and the Left fought against the Congress, although not in unison. During the second wave too, as happened in 1970s, India’s east, west and north further turned away from the Congress. The Southern States, like in 1970s, vacillated but in the longer term non-Congress forces got strengthened including the BJP. The north-east remained largely unaffected; but the state of Jammu and Kashmir, particularly the Kashmir valley, erupted with discontent and anger against the Indian establishment during and in the aftermath of this period; even though there is no overt inter-connectivity between the discontent in the valley and discontent in rest of India. 
It is remarkable that most of the social forces and political formations that participated in both the anti-corruption crusades; like the right wing Jan Sangh (and then BJP), the Dalit and OBCs and the Left, consolidated their power bases. In the process, the Swatantra Party elements mostly merged into the BJP and the Lohiaites have been balkanized into social identity groups. On the other hand, Muslims did not gain anything substantially on and after both the occasions and the tribal remained politically voiceless.
It has been argued that the positioning of Lohiaites, Left and Dalit and OBC groups were identical with that of BJP’s during both the waves of mass discontent,  resulting into the latter’s gaining of legitimacy in Indian politics. However, right-wing politics, in the form of the BJP, would have gained immensely by capturing the mass discontent against the Congress regimes, particularly on the issues of corruption and inflation, if the other non-Congress forces would not have positioned themselves as they did. For the wide ranging political forces; from ultra right to ultra left to various social groups, discontent against corruption served as a secular issue to fight against the establishment in order to garner support and legitimacy. On the other hand, futility of both the waves to produce concrete mechanism or alter the political-economic system to effectively curb menace of corruption resulted into co-option of opponents of the Congress regime into the establishment or the system. Till 1989 Congress Party was considered as the natural agency to govern and hence, had been identified as establishment. The socio-political developments since second wave of mass discontent shows that the space of Congress as part of establishment has been constantly eroded while the BJP, Left and Dalit and OBC groups/parties have been encroaching into the establishment.
A significant development since the second wave of mass discontent has been pronouncement of economic liberalization in India. A major plank to sell the idea of economic liberalization policy has been the argument that an economic system dominated by the State is bound to be corrupt and inefficient, hence needs to be altered. Government of the politically weak Congress Party during 1991-1996, which was also in the minority in the Lok Sabha,  succeeded in firmly introducing neo-liberalization mainly because people, at large, were unwilling to keep on embracing the system against which it had rose twice in the past. In the process, people’s discontent got fragmented into protection and promotion of social and communal identities. As a direct result of it, the secular world-view of progressive movements too got fractured and it had to take up fight against single issues at different places calling itself the people’s movements. Even after the electoral mandate of 2004 and the historic role that the Left parties played at the centre for next 4 years, masses did not rise in action against the neo-liberalization. It is in this context that the third wave of mass discontent erupted in India in 2011.
Third Wave of Mass Discontent    
Like the earlier two occasions, third wave of mass discontent has the background of massive government scams and inaction against corrupt politicians and bureaucrats. There are few more commonalities; ever-rising inflation, presence of Congress Government at the centre and Gandhi-Nehru dynasty at the receiving end of the mass discontent. Another striking similarity of all the three momentums has been the backdrop of impressive electoral performances by the Congress Party in the general elections that perpetuated the fear of never ending Gandhi-Nehru dynastic rule over India. Similarities, nonetheless, end here, while the differentiations are strikingly noteworthy.
The first differentiation between earlier two movements and the incumbent movement is the latter’s success in clear articulation of its goal and objectives. The movement focused on creation of an institution of Lokpal through a parliamentary legislation. In fact, no political party or group denied necessity of institution of Lokpal. The differences remained on its structure, role, scope and powers.
The second major differentiation is in the nature of the leadership. In 1970s and in late 1980s, political parties and political leadership were the main agencies and actors mobilizing and leading the masses against the respective incumbent central governments.  However, the third wave of mass discontent has been led by non-political entities named Anna Hazare – a social activist who has developed a backward village in Maharashtra on the Gandhian principles; Kiran Bedi – a retired senior officer of Indian Police Services; Arvind Kejariwal – Right to Information activist who had resigned from Indian Revenue Services; Prashant Bhushan – a successful lawyer at the Supreme Court known for his passion for human rights; and Medha Patkar – founder of Narmada Bachao Andolan. None of them had ever contested elections nor been members of any political parties. This movement has not thrown, so far, any significant political figure(s) in sharp contrast to earlier two occasions.
The third differentiation is that the third wave of mass discontent is not merely directed against the incumbent government but also against the established ‘political class.’ People in the movement revered the non-political activists and hated all the politicians alike. The movement and its leadership have been severely criticized for the same; however, without serious introspection by the ‘political class’ and its defenders such criticism is proving to be self-defeating.    
All the political parties agreed to the main demand of the movement, i.e. creation of institution of Lok Pal; however, all of them, except the BJP, articulated their positions against content and intent of the movement. Congress Party’s main criticism has been that the movement subverts the parliamentary procedures and prerogatives of the government bestowed upon it by the voters for 5 years. Many regional parties, like Trinamool Congress, DMK as well as AIADMK and NCP, shared this view. The Left said the movement has been crowded by the middle and upper middle class people who have not been uncomfortable with neoliberal policies. On the top of it, the Left alleged, the movement has been funded by the corporate sector. The social identity based political parties and caste based social groups countered the movement arguing that it has been led and dominated by the upper castes and real agenda of this movement has been subversion of the reservation system by undermining the Constitution. Muslim groups and tribal mostly remained aloof from the movement. BJP did not voice its criticism but remained ambivalent about whole-heartedly participating in it. On the other hand, BJP’s key ally Shiv Sena vehemently opposed Anna Hazare’s leadership and criticized the movement. BJP’s ambivalence emerged from two interlinked factors; one, some of its own leaders have been engulfed in the corruption cases and two, the mass mobilizations during the movement have been so apathetic towards the political parties that any overtures from the BJP might have boom-ranged on it. On the other hand, BJP refrained from criticizing the movement because the middle class, which BJP considers as its core constituency, has been sympathetic to the government. Even though BJP kept a safe distance from the movement, RSS has issued directives to its followers to participate in it.
In this overall context, a natural question that arises is who participated in the countrywide massive mobilizations under the banner of India against Corruption if all of the political parties, most of the social/caste based organizations, Muslim groups and tribal maintained a distance from it. One obvious answer is the RSS and the middle class. But some of the prominent figures in this movement, e.g. Prashant Bhushan and Medha Patkar, have been at the loggerheads with RSS as well as BJP on various issues since last many years. Majority of the people who participated were neither mobilized through RSS shakhas nor had any impression that they were participating in a movement organized or led by RSS. Similarly, middle and upper middle class have been more inclined towards liberalism and composite culture and dislikes many of RSS’ extreme ideals and views.  Also, scale of the massive support emerged for Team Anna’s agitation in the month of August 2011, has gone beyond the size of the middle class in India. Nonetheless, fact remains that RSS participated in this movement so as the middle class. This convergence is intriguingly interesting. The movement emerged from third wave of mass discontent has a distinctive feature of ‘core’ of the movement and ‘periphery’ of the movement. While ‘core’ anchored the movement, ‘periphery’ participated in it providing real strength to the movement. In a paradoxical situation, Indian society’s those sections who have been benefitted most by the neo-liberal policies and part of those sections, which have neither been benefitted from the neo-liberal policies nor from the State’s welfare measures, are part of this movement.
 ‘Core’ of the Movement
            Neo-liberalism has produced three distinguished sections in Indian society that have now begun to exert their influence on polity. The privatization, entry of MNCs and boom in Information-Technology driven by the private sector has created a neo-rich middle and upper middle class. Supplementary to it, a new entrepreneur class has come into existence in urban India. Together, they all represent first section of the neo-liberal troika. The second section has come into existence in the form of Non Governmental Organizations (NGOs). State’s partial withdrawal from the public sphere has simultaneously seen promotion of NGOs. Many of these NGOs compete with the State’s space in the society even while receiving funds from the government or its agencies. Many other NGOs receive funds from foreign agencies and want to perform the State’s duties. Today these NGOs have significantly created networking among people and their role in opinion shaping can not be ignored. The third section that has gained strength during neo-liberal era is electronic, print and digital media. This section is dependent on neo-rich urban class for profit, however, it exerts influences on wider sections of Indian society. All these three sections, which are products of neo-liberalism, look at the ‘political class’ as the main source of corruption that has been looting country’s resources. According to them, politicians’ greed for power and money compels the other sectors, like corporate, media and private entrepreneurs for corrupt practices. Therefore, curbing the corruption at the political offices assumes highest priority for these three sections.
The fourth section, some of the people’s movements, voluntary organizations and social activists, are not a product of neo-liberalism but participated in the present movement. Many of them have been involved in the J.P. movement of 1970s or have been inspired by that legacy and since then independently working on different issues in different forms and at different places. They emphasize on upholding Gandhian principles of morality in public sphere. They also believe in decentralization of financial and administrative powers. According to them, centralization of powers lead to corruption and the existing ‘political class’ perpetuates centralization and indulges in corruption. They believe that ‘Ganga’ of corruption flows from top to down. Hence, eliminating corruption at the top is the first essential step to curb the overall menace of corruption.  Like the first three sections, they also hold the existing ‘political class’ mainly responsible for widespread corruption in the country.  These four sections constitute the ‘core’ of the incumbent movement arising out of third wave of mass discontent.
The first three sections, as described above, are pro-globalization, practices wealthy life style and mostly comprise of urban based population. People and organizations in the fourth section vary in their approaches to the globalization and at best could be summarized as cautious and wary of economic globalization. They believe in austerity and preach simple living as envisaged under Gandhian world-view; and many of them work among rural communities. Despite these basic differences, the fourth section can form an alliance with the first three sections mainly because goal of the present movement is well defined, i.e. creation of an institution of Lok Pal as envisaged in the Jan Lok Pal Bill prepared by Team Anna. These sections conceive Lok Pal as faithful representative of the civil society, who will investigate and prosecute the corrupt politicians and bureaucrats.
This is not to suggest that all the people’s movements and voluntary organizations participated in the present movement. Significant number of them has kept away from the agitation. Similarly not all NGOs participated or sympathize with the movement. Reasons of their non-participation vary from simple ego issues to disagreements on nature of agitation to disliking for socio-economic character of other participants. Many voluntary organizations are working according to the principles of advocacy rather than confrontation with the State and hence preferred to stay away from the agitation. Many people’s movements and social activists objected to the elite character of the participants and could not associate themselves with the movement.
            Even though, ‘core’ of the movement is resourceful and influential; nonetheless, it does not have the numerical capacity to threaten the government and the established political class. Countrywide massive mobilizations seen during Anna Hazare’s three fasts in Delhi in different months in 2011 does not merely represents ‘core’ sections but a larger participation beyond it. This larger participation constitutes ‘periphery’ of the movement.     
‘Periphery’ of the Movement
‘Periphery’ of the movement is much more complex and difficult to categorize. The first section in the ‘periphery’ is comprised of small traders, shopkeepers, small distributors and urban/semi-urban people involved in cottage industries. Most of them face regular harassments at the hands of police and municipal authorities. They could relate with the concept of Lok Pal as an institution that will keep checks on police and bureaucracy. Second section in the ‘periphery’ includes smaller organizations and unions in the urban and semi-urban areas like the transport unions or union of Dabbewallas in Mumbai or union of the working people at the Dhobi Ghat of Mumbai. This section is mostly disenchanted with the political class and would like to see an institution that would make the political class accountable and responsible towards its duties. The third and a major component of the ‘periphery’ has been the urban youth; unemployed, semi-employed or involved in petty businesses.  Similarly, large number of college and university students, whose future will certainly be like their youth counterparts, joined the ranks in the movement. This section is well connected through cell phones and internet; and they are under the influence of BPO culture of the metropolitan cities. Along with general frustration with the political class, they look forward to contribute positively towards betterment of the society and the country. The fourth section of the ‘periphery’ is diverse ‘spiritual’ organizations as well as smaller political parties and political organizations. Their purpose of participation in this movement is either to get connected to the people who are out on the streets, or to isolate the Congress-led Central government, or to serve both the purposes. Organizations connected to spiritual guru Shri Ravishankar or Ramdev, many small organizations in different cities and towns that subscribe to non-Congress (or anti-Congress) ideology but are not linked to any major political party as well as the RSS and the CPI (Marxist-Leninist) belong to this category. Overall, these four categories form the ‘periphery’ providing numerical strength to the present movement.
People who participated in the movement from ‘periphery’ could not be classified as beneficiaries of neo-liberal policies; neither do they belong to middle or upper strata of the society nor all of them have origins in the socially higher castes in Hindu society. On the other hand, most of them are equally frustrated with the political class and are fed up with non-existence of electoral alternatives. Most importantly, they have increasingly been isolated from the State’s welfare and social emancipation measures, either due to State’s withdrawal or inefficiency of those policies itself. Again, ‘periphery’ does not represent all the people in the country but sections of it. Particularly those poor and marginalized people having organic links with political parties and been benefitted from their programmes stayed away from the movement.
Conclusion
            The third wave of mass discontent is general expression of disenchantment with the established political class. The ‘core’ of the movement is aware of its limitations in terms of numerical strength and lack of cohesive ideology. Therefore, it has defined the goal of the movement in clear terms, i.e. creation of Lok Pal; and objectives as cleaning up the political system from corruption that includes money and muscle powers. The ‘core’ does not have organizational mechanism, so far, to mobilize the ‘periphery’. On the other hand, ‘periphery’s’ participation has been enthusiastic and self-motivated. The ‘core’ is not antithetical to neo-liberal policies and in many ways favors withdrawal of the State. The ‘periphery’ is not mobilized against the neo-liberal policies neither does it view the State as useful entity. The ‘core’ and the ‘periphery’ together represent a wider section of Indian people, who are not influenced or impressed by any of the political formations. On the other hand, political parties lack the programmes that could mobilize these people. Many of the political parties and social formations, once seen as fighting against the establishment during the first and second wave of mass discontents, have now been seen as part of the establishment.
People’s participation in the movement for Lok Pal indicates the political vaccume existing in India. At the time of independence, seven major ideological formations were competing with each other to build the future of India. First, the Congress Party as the umbrella organization and with mixed economy favoring Indian capitalists was the leading force. Second, the socialists emphasized morality in public sphere and State-ownership of major industries. Third, the Hindu right-wing organizations, mainly the RSS and Jan Sangh, envisaged a majoritarian Hindutva-based polity. Fourth, a small group of ideologues led by C Rajgopalachari and supported by some of the capitalists, land-lords and princely lobby aspired for free economy. Fifth, the communists were fighting for alteration of economic and political system on the lines of egalitarian Marxist principles of equal distribution and public ownership of all the means of productions. Sixth, organizations fighting for social emancipation and social equality; inspired by the thoughts and leadership of Dr. Ambedkar, Periyar and others. And seventh, Gandhian principles of village self-reliance and austerity. All of these seven ideological formations have undergone changes and built their bases or experienced erosion in their support; some have even become extinct from political sphere, as a result of first and second wave of mass discontents during 1970s and late 1980s.
The third wave of mass discontent now indicates that political formations based on these ideologies have been exhausted in terms of reaching out to significant sections of the people. Today, India is divided between those having faith in any of these political formations and those who are willing to reject all of them and still not having any other viable alternatives. As a result, even the present movement limits itself to the creation of Lok Pal and cleaning of political system from the corrupt elements rather than trying to form coherent ideological alternative to the existing political formations.         

Thursday, June 3, 2010

China Since Tiananmen

4th June is an anniversary of Tiananmen incident, wherein violent confrontations took place in Beijing in 1989 between armed forces and large groups standing against the Communist government. In China, the event is referred as Fourth June Incident to avoid confusion over earlier protests at the Tiananmen Square, particularly the Tiananmen Incident of 1976 and May Fourth Movement of 1919. The protest against political establishment and subsequent crackdown happened at a time when anti-communist movements were sweeping across Eastern Europe and policies of Perestroika-Glasnost were order of the day in the USSR. The 1989 protest was conglomeration of section of ex-members of CCP (Chinese Communist Party), of the Trotskyites, of the urban workers, of the students and of the intellectuals. Demands of agitating leaders were vague in nature and lacked theoretical perspective required for converting dissent into nationwide movement based on ideological alternative. The urban workers’ concerns were job insecurity and inflation, both had been result of economic reforms. The intellectuals were clear in demanding political reforms and freedom of expression therein. The students wanted immediate steps to curb corruption and punish corrupt government and CCP officials. In a way, the protest was not aimed at overthrowing the CCP regime in one stroke but asking the Party itself to initiate process of broad political reforms.

CCP leadership was sympathetic to these demands, except for immediate political reforms. Further, political liberalization for attaining western style democracy was completely ruled out. Deng Xiaoping’s resolute handling of 1989 protesters was based on the theoretical framework that could be summarised as follows: China is witnessing the primary stage of socialism, which will continue for many more years; Development of forces of production is the utmost task before the CCP and the Chinese people and; only CCP’s supremacy can ensure political stability required for massive economic development. Deng Xiaoping was convinced that loosening of CCP’s authority would pave way for chaotic years, which would hamper the economic modernization programme. He knew that CCP’s legitimacy would come from his economic modernization programme, which had doubled the per capita income of Chinese people in one decade.
Deng Xiaoping’s decisiveness in clamping down on Tiananmen protesters had deeply disappointed his western admirers, who expected him to become Gorbachev of China. On the other hand, he silenced his ultra-left detractors of being a ‘capitalist road taker.’ The 1989 incident did not shake Deng Xiaoping’s belief in his economic modernization programme and he refused ground to neo-Maoist section within Party to turn the clock back to the policies of Cultural Revolution era. Post-1989, the CCP ensured that it would remain in control of the economic modernization programme and would not allow either the ultra-left elements to put breaks to it nor to capitalist interests to take over the decision making process at the highest level.
Chinese government was subject to severe criticism in international media over its use of force against agitators. The capitalist forces all over the world were overjoyed with the probable fall of socialist government in China and propagated systemic change in the country sooner than later. In this context, we can witness four noticeable things in today’s China. One, the 1989 protesters could not regroup since then. The paradox of Fourth June Incident was liberal intellectuals leading a section of urban workers who were dismayed by the pace of restructuring of State-Owning-Enterprises (SOEs). Another paradox was protesting students’ disillusionment with Marxism-Leninism but their inability to find an alternative that would have made China as developed as the western countries. Once Chinese state cracked down on the protesters, these contradictions ensured that the dissenters won’t come together in the near future. The rural populace remained indifferent to the 1989 conflict for many of them, if not all, had experienced dramatic improvement in their standard of living under Deng Xiaoping regime.
Two, the CCP maintained its position that in 1989 use of force was necessary. This continued support for clampdown on agitators in 1989 is significant. The CCP has a long tradition of self-criticism and critical evaluation of the past as well as criticism of its tall leaders. Entire Maoist era was full of such episodes wherein the CCP or a section of leadership in it found faults with party’s policies and methods; whether it’s Hundred Flowers Movement or the Great Leap Forward. This led to intense ideological struggles within the CCP. In the post-Mao period, the Cultural Revolution as well as cult politics came under severe criticism. However, handling of the Tiananmen protest had never been a subject of self-criticism for CCP neither was criticised by any noteworthy section within the party. Since Tiananmen protests the CCP has witnessed two generational leadership changes and the third leadership transfer is in the offing. At no point of time, the new leaderships tried to torpedo legacy of Deng Xiaoping and his associates over the Fourth June Incident ; either overtly or covertly. This indicates overwhelming mood within CCP for necessity of continuance of One-Party System and firmness in dealing with dissents, which challenges its legitimacy to govern.
Three, there has been no system change with CCP firmly in control of affairs. In the immediate aftermath of Tiananmen protest, Chinese government brought the inflation under control and put breaks on indiscriminate restructuring of SOEs. This was helpful in taming the dissent within urban workers. Similarly, cases against corrupt officials were fast-tracked and even death penalty was handed to few of the perpetrators of financial crimes. These measures were symbolic in nature as corruption in China has been the systemic problem. Even then, it helped in restoring confidence among ordinary Chinese citizens about leadership’s intention to get rid of corrupt officials. CCP’s continuous campaign, in post-Tiananmen phase, against the return of chaos and political instability had its impact. A generation, which faced hardships during Cultural Revolution, rallied behind the Chinese government. More importantly, the CCP succeeded in impressing upon the people that economic modernization was much more necessary than the political reforms. An ordinary Chinese citizen, post-Tiananmen, aspires more for economic prosperity than for political reforms. Most of them desire to get rich and richer, while collectively they want China to overtake Unites States in all the spheres. Chinese government further gained its legitimacy from successful handling of complex issues of national importance like unification of Hong Kong and Macau, bombing of Chinese embassy in former Yugoslavia and prolonged negotiations over accession to WTO. The recently held Beijing Olympics was also utilised by CCP to gain popularity among the people.
Four, very significant developments have taken place in China since 1989 at the political and societal level under the supervision of CCP that has great implications on state-society relations. The right to property has been officially acknowledged and the Party opened up its doors to those who have become affluent, and influential thereof, as a result of economic modernization programme. The thoughts of Three Represents promulgated by Jiang Zemin and theory of Scientific Development for building Harmonious Society as constructed by Hu Jintao showed that the CCP has further moved away from Maoist notion of class struggle in China. The Chinese population has become more mobile with influx of rural population into cities in search of work and flight of Chinese students to foreign universities in the hope of better opportunities abroad. Direct elections are encouraged at the grass-root level, which has now become an important feature of village politics in China. At some places, non-CCP members have trounced the party members in these local elections. Similarly, protests by farmers and workers against local authorities have become common in today’s China. In most of time, such protests erupt due to mismanagement, corruption or atrocities by local officials. Today, thousands of organizations are functional throughout China working in different fields ranging from environmental issues to care of old age persons. Occasionally, these non-party, non-governmental organizations lobby with the CCP and the government on issues of their concerns. China’s urban market is full of various regular publications in which the common feature is absence of political matters. On the other hand, Chinese bloggers are vociferous in their political writings and sometimes critical of Party and State. At the end of year 2009, China had record 384 million internet users with 120 million using mobile internet applications. Internet usage for banking, booking travels and doing commerce is popular among its users in China.
Post-Tiananmen, China has been traversing unparalleled path. This phase has, indeed, been most stable and productive for China in last two centuries. While adhering to Deng Xiaoping’s conceptualisation of Socialism with Chinese Characteristics, the post-Deng leadership has concentrated more on development of productive forces. It is also taking up challenges emanating from economic modernization programme and opening up to the outside world, like bridging the divide between coastal and inland China and addressing the disparity between rich and poor people. The real issue, so far untouched by CCP leadership, is when will China accomplish Primary Stage of Socialism and how will it enter next stage. It believes that the present stage will continue for many more years. If one takes a clue from the Chinese history; any systemic transition in China, whether entering into next stage of Socialism or embracing political liberalization, will be intensely turbulent. Today, no one is prepared for the inevitable.
References:
1. Minqi, Li, China: Six Years After Tiananmen, in History as it Happened: Selected articles from Monthly Review 1949-1998, compiled by Ortiz, Bobbye S. And Tilak D. Gupta, third impression July 2006, Cornerstone publications.
2. http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTOE60E06S20100115

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Small Is Not Necessarily Beautiful

On 14th January, Jansatta published an article on separate statehood by Dhananjay Rai. The scholarly article is informative as well as provocatively thoughtful. It provides good insights into ever increasing demands for newer states in Indian republic and changing nature of basis for such regional temptations. I am eager to write few comments on the matter, but initially want to summarize the arguments for better understanding of the issues raised by Dhananjay Rai.
1. Freedom struggle and immediate aftermath of independence was dominated by the thinking that nation-state was the unit for development. This understanding was shackled in early 1950s with movements for linguistic states wherein development and language were seen as two sides of the same coin. As a result, states were reorganized mostly on the basis of language. Andhra Pradesh was the first state created on linguistic basis in 1953 as a consequence of VishalAndhra movement. In 1960, Maharashtra and Gujarat were formed, while Tamilnadu came into existence in 1969 and Karnataka in 1973. Punjab and Haryana were created in 1966 and Himachal Pradesh earned the statehood in 1971. Manipur, Meghalaya and Tripura became states in 1972 and Nagaland came into existence as a state in 1973. During this period, Orissa and Kerala were also reorganized on the basis of linguistic unity. Arunachal Pradesh and Mizoram were granted full statehood in 1987. Later on Goa was also converted from Union Territory status to the state.
2. The states created on the basis of language produced uneven level of developments in its regions, thus invoking the feeling of deprivation, and even exploitation, in the underdeveloped areas of these states. As a result, development has been dissociated from the language and linked to the region. This was the basis for creation of Chattisgarh, Uttarakhand and Jharkhand in the year 2000. Demands for new states are also based on similar conception of deliberate underdevelopment of the regions in various states. These demands prominently include creation of Telangana, Seemanchal (in Bihar), Vidarbha, Maru Bhumi (In Rajasthan), Budelkhand (parts of UP and MP), Harit Pradesh (in UP), Poorvanchal (Eastern UP and parts of Bihar), Bodoland, Gorakhaland, Tulunadu (parts of Karnataka and Kerala), Saurashtra, Kodagu (in Karnataka), Vindhya Pradesh (in MP) etc.
3. The case is not as simple as it is being presented and there are various aspects related to demands for new states. Firstly, there are examples where people of particular regions are united in demanding separate statehood based on their understanding of reasons for their underdevelopment. Secondly, higher castes and class in some regions are trying to establish their supremacy taking advantage of demands for separate statehoods. The powerful castes have accepted democracy as a sort of compromise as they are hapless due to their small numeric strength. In bigger states, the powerful castes were forced for compromises by the masses. However, the extent of mass assertion and nature of compromises by powerful castes is a matter of debate. Creation of smaller states promises more independence to powerful castes, mainly due to comparatively greater numerical presence of these castes in the concerned regions. Haryana exemplifies this phenomenon. The post 1991 globalization has produced and strengthened bourgeoisie at the regional level whereas bourgeoisie was concentrated in few areas erstwhile. Increasing demands for newer states is result of emergence of regional bourgeoisie.
4. A contrasting phenomenon, symbolized in the demand for Harit Pradesh, is also emerging wherein comparatively developed region in the state wants to separate themselves for better administration of their resources and development potentials. If such regions lacked quality administration, how have they emerged as better off in the state? The demand for Harit Pradesh, as articulated by Ajit Singh, clearly demonstrates rise of powerful castes and its efforts to strengthen the grip on power.
5. To conclude, it is not correct that powerful castes and class have lost the leverage in existing centre-state structure. At the same time, small states will definitely help powerful castes and class to strengthen their hold on power structure.
I will neither agree with this theorization nor reject it. Constraints of newspaper article are evident and the statement that smaller states suits regional bourgeoisie needs interrogation. Instead, I would like to share some instant thoughts on the subject.
1. Idea of reorganization of states on linguistic basis captured imagination during the freedom struggle itself and Congress party promised the same several times during pre-independence period. It was propagated more to dismiss regional fears of cultural and linguistic domination of Hindi, particularly raised due to Gandhiji’s emphasis on making it the national language. Another major consideration was conducting the government business in the language known to states’ subjects. The issue of better administration was, thus, addressed by bringing the areas of one language in one state to the extent possible. This objective was partially achieved by reorganization of states, however, the courts and higher bureaucracy continued to function using English as medium.
2. Post-independence, the Congress showed reluctance for reorganization of states and people’s movements compelled the central government to take steps in this direction. If we characterize the Congress regime as conglomeration of bourgeoisie and feudal elements, it could be derived that the bourgeoisie of that time was reluctant for reorganization of states on linguistic basis. This, however, does not mean that in the present context demands for smaller states are not spearheaded by the regional bourgeoisie.
3. In my observation, particularly in terms of demand for Vidarbha, certain sections are more zealous for separate state. Prominent among them are politicians, contractors and traders. The politicians visualize their bigger influence and role in smaller states as they are overshadowed by their counterparts from the richer and developed parts in existing state. In Vidarbha, politicians across parties including the Dalit parties favor separate state. The contractors and traders face the heat from their counterparts in the richer and developed parts of the state. They wish to limit role of the latter by creating separate state entity where they could grab all the government contracts and trade policies favorable to them. Politicians, contractors and traders from different castes demonstrate unity of purpose with this regard.
4. On the contrary, there has been example of Uttarakhand wherein demand for separate statehood was spearheaded by Upper castes as a reaction to OBC-Dalit dominated politics of united U.P. The upper castes are in majority in Uttarakhand. In Chattisgarh, upper caste politicians from the region who influenced united M.P’s politics for many years, found themselves sidelined by the masses. The new political leadership has begun to call the shots in Chattisgarh soon after its creation. The same can be said about Jharkhand.
5. States of very small size are more prone to political instability; e.g Goa and north-eastern states. The big and medium size states have provided relatively stable governments with Jharkhand as the major exception.
6. Jharkhand and Chattisgarh have seen surge in Maoist activities after their creation. The Maoists support demands for Telangana, Vidarbha and Gorakhaland.
The contemporary movements or demands present no blueprints, single or multiple, for development of desired state. Mere creation of more states can result into increased administrative costs adding to further deprivation of these underdeveloped regions. There are two important points that need intense deliberations before demanding separate statehood for underdeveloped region. First, discourse on poverty elimination is largely missing while discussing developmental issues. Similarly, issue of devolution of maximum possible powers to local governmental bodies remains unaddressed. Unless these issues of immense importance are neglected by the proponents of smaller states, there is strong ground to uphold Dhananjay Rai’s assessment that such demands serve interest of regional bourgeoisie.




Monday, May 25, 2009

MANDATE 2009: TRIUMPH OF NEO-NEHRUISM

 

            On 16th May 2009, Dr. Manmohan Singh became the only incumbent Prime Minister sans Pt. Jawaharlal Nehru to win second consecutive term after completing full 5 years in office.  Continuation of Congress dominated alliance in the government reminds one of the Nehru era in more than one way. Stability and development were the issues on which people preferred Congress over other parties in the post-independence years. It was seen as a major force against Hindu and Muslim communalism as Nehru’s commitment to secularism was unquestionable. The umbrella character of its organization brought under it majority of people from almost all castes and religions as no one wanted to miss the opportunity to progress. These were the reasons enough for comprehensive Congress victories in first 3 general elections under Nehru’s premiership. He neither required radical economic agenda nor passionate appeals of social justice to garner support of the masses.

            Dr. Singh’s 5-years tenure somehow succeeded in generating similar impression about the ruling combine among the masses. His government enjoyed relative stability, except the brief turmoil over confidence vote on nuclear deal at the fag end of the term, thanks to the solid support of 61 Left MPs. The previous governments since 1989 were comparatively more unstable, including the NDA regime, as uncertainty always prevailed over the confidence of completing full tenure. The mandate of 2004 was to forge broader unity against communal forces, which had been duly respected in last five years. The Congress unexpectedly showed less vacillation over the communal issues as was evident from its adherence to Sethusamudram project in spite of saffron bogey of destroying mythical Ram Sethu. Also, it took up the issue of deprivation of Muslim community and turned the BJP’s arguments on its head about minority appeasement. It also created the impression that inclusive growth rather than sectarian interests has been its purpose of governance. It wisely adopted conciliatory approach towards left’s principled opposition to financial liberalization. Congress never took the left head on over these issues, thus, denying the latter credit of saving Indian economy when many capitalist systems in the world face the crisis. As a result, it was Dr. Manmohan Singh and his team that received praises for delicately balancing the economy and viewed as hope for preventing any collapse in the future.

            Significant increase in Congress seats in the Parliament is also the result of renewed approach towards party functioning that brought fresh air into the organizational machinery. Credit for this undoubtedly goes to steadfast leadership of Sonia Gandhi. Once dismissed as political novice, she has now emerged as tallest political leader of her generation. Congress has succeeded in regaining confidence of poor and middle classes as its leaders kept on harping upon the pro-poor and pro-farmer approach of UPA government. The programs like NREGA and loan waiver scheme came handy for convincing propaganda during the electioneering.   The party calibrated its approach in such a fashion that the pro-poor appeal never turned against rich or becoming rich. Sonia has developed the skill of connecting with masses in the same terms as her mother-in-law used to do in her heydays. Realizing that it was the poor people who constituted Indira Gandhi’s real political strength, Sonia has focused on connecting the Congress organization with them. However, it was perhaps the only imitation on her part of India’s former Prime Minister. Rest of her functioning as High-Command is dramatically different from the iron lady of the past, and even from her husband. They are aimed at reclaiming the Nehruvian legacy of Congress as democratic umbrella organization.

            Various thoughtful decisions by Ms. Gandhi over the years have benefitted the Congress in the long term. Division of party and government was the first major change introduced by her, which has been total departure from the practice of Indira-Rajiv period. A team of powerful general secretaries like Rahul Gandhi, Digvijay Singh, Virappa Moily, Ashok Gahlot etc remained out of central government and concentrated on organizational functioning. Ms. Gandhi never hesitated to send the influential leaders to state level affairs despite their reluctance as was evident from Gulam Nabi Azad’s posting in J&K and making Pranab Mukherjee West Bengal PCC chief. This way, she not only exerted the superiority but also signaled displeasure against coterie politics. Neglect of veteran like Arjun Singh further made clear her preference to dynamic performance over sycophancy. Today Congress has various leaders at the national level who are generally accepted as good at governance like Dr. Manmohan Singh, Pranab Mukherjee, P. Chidambaram, A. K. Anthony etc. This approach has resulted into Congress projecting itself as team of capable leaders in the government and the party, a shift from over- centralized politics of 1970s and 1980s.

            More significantly, Congress is back to the Nehruvian days when many state leaders were popular enough to win elections on their own. They have been given free hand and stability by the High-command, which has yielded significant returns. The examples in sight are Y.S. Rajshekhara Reddy in Andhra, Ashok Gahlot in Rajsthan, Sheila Dixit in Delhi, Bhoopender Hooda in Haryana and Tarun Gogoi in Assam. This decentralization of functioning has helped the party in ensuring proper division of labor and responsibility. The last, but not the least, change brought in by Ms. Gandhi was packing the old generation of Congressmen to Raj Bhavans of different states, thus providing opportunity to generation next in the Congress. Many of the influential leaders of the Indira-Rajiv era, who are alive today, are appointed as Governor like N. D. Tiwaree, Balram Jakhar, Prabha Rau etc. Octogenarian leader like Karunakaran was forced to sit at home calmly, while irritants like Bhajan Lal, Buta Singh and Natwar Singh were compelled to leave the party. This opened up space for Rahul Gandhi’s younger team to prove its potential.

            The steady approach to blossom Rahul into leadership role is much similar to Nehru’s method towards Indira, wherein she was made to learn the basics of politics for years. This has also paid in its own way as criticism of promoting dynastic rule became ineffective and people were impressed with the hard work undertaken by Gandhi-duo to usher another term for Dr. Manmohan Singh. Congressmen must understand that the mandate is also for providing opportunity to non-Gandhi person to govern the country. Any attempts by coterie and sycophants to turn back the clock will surely be disliked by the people. Sonia and Rahul must guard themselves from such phenomena.

            There are few more important things the Congress must reflect upon. Despite significant increase in number of seats, Congress received only 2% more votes than 2004 even when it has contested more parliamentary seats. It is still far behind the 49% vote share won under Rajiv Gandhi in 1984. There had been division of opposition votes in states of A.P. Tamil Nadu, Haryana and Maharashtra that benefitted Congress. Focused and committed regional players like JD-U in Bihar and BJD in Orissa are still difficult nuts to crack. While this mandate is interpreted as vote for development and secularism, any neglect of issues concerning social justice can prove costly. Similarly, the communal politics takes no time to bounce back once given opportunity. The communal parties thrive in the conditions of unemployment, stiff price rise and any events arousing fear of national insecurity and disintegration. If Congress dreams of winning handsome majority five years later, these are the areas it can not afford to neglect. It must keep in mind that Indian electorate is inclined to punish arrogance, corruption and complacency. Return to the discourse of India soon becoming a superpower without electricity at every home, education to each child, health care for all, job security for workers, employment opportunities for youth, care of elderly persons and profitable farming for farmers; will invite people’s wrath. Maturity and thoughtfulness shown by Congress’ top leadership in recent past is an assurance with this regard, however, its history rooted in class politics raises an alarm. After all, the legendary Nehru also sacrificed his visionary wisdom to keep in tact alliance of the ‘haves’ in support of Congress while masses were merely shown mirage of socialist future.   

 

Monday, May 18, 2009

ELECTION 2009: SUMMARY OF THE CAMPAIGN TRAILS

(It was written on the eve of election results. Due to technical difficulty, I am posting it two days after the election outcome.)

With the last ballot on 13th May in 86 constituencies that went to poll in the fifth phase of the general elections for the 15th Lok Sabha, the two month long political mega-event has reached its penultimate stage. It becomes imperative to look into political phenomena as it unfolded during campaigning, people who hogged limelight and perceptions about the entire exercise. Once election results are out, these matters will be discussed through the prism of outcome, risking the objectivity.

Momentum of development plank, which Congress claimed to have generated after the last round of Assembly elections, did not sustain for long as the ruling party preferred to engage principal opposition on the issue of weak and strong Prime Minister. The Congress troika of Manmohan Singh-Sonia Gandhi-Rahul Gandhi launched counter-attack on L. K. Advani over his communal politics and erstwhile NDA’s failed approach to tackle terrorism. Congress cleverly killed two birds in one stone as its offensive made the BJP’s main attack on UPA government ineffective while the real issues of development, livelihood and security never surfaced in the debate between country’s two major political parties. For the first time, Indian voters witnessed the political avatar of incumbent Prime Minister as he was fielded by the Congress strategist to attack the right and the left alike. Congress also made it clear that it would not replace Dr. Manmohan Singh as Prime Ministerial candidate. Why should it spring up another leader in the rank which can risk eventual take over of the party by its first family’s generation next? Meantime, Dr. Singh did a favor to Indian democracy by casting his vote in Assam where he is enrolled as voter. Even though he acknowledged his inability to cast vote in the Assam assembly elections two years back, no one remembers whether he ever voted for the 14th Lok Sabha in 2004.

BJP’s desperation for issues to corner the ruling establishment was evident from a fact that in the mid of the campaign it focused on question of bringing back the black money stocked in Swiss Bank by some influential Indians. The issue was initially raised by left parties, which has also been mentioned in CPI-M’s manifesto. Left parties immediately pointed out BJP’s double standard on the issue when it showed how erstwhile NDA government opened up new routes to sneak away black currency in foreign banks. Realizing the appeal of the cause, Congress played safe by pledging to take steps to recover smuggled money. Political parties’ posturing over the issue resulted in emergence of consensus on the need to bring illegally transported money back in the country. Civil society’s pressure and Left’s concerted efforts on this issue, in deed, can help in achieving concrete results once new government takes the charge. While Congress attempted to maintain distance from charges of shielding corrupt people; CBI’s decision to let off Quatrorchi, an accused in the Bofors case, put the party in the dock. Impact of it on the electorate is, however, questionable given the oldness of the case.


Stripped of concrete issues, BJP ultimately championed the case of Varun Gandhi, who vitiated the electioneering with hate speeches against Muslims. The right-wing party banked upon the possibility of communal polarization to boost its prospects in parts of Uttar Pradesh, if not in the entire country. Nationwide condemnation of Varun Gandhi’s vitriolic attack against Muslim community proved the point that merely belonging to Gandhi family would not usher upon you the leadership status; rather, it should be firmly supplemented by respect for all religions and people as well as sobriety in behavior. In sharp contrast, Priyanka Gandhi scored a political point in dignified and graceful manner when she advised her cousin to read and understand Gita. She also silenced Narendra Modi over his criticism that Congress has grown old, hence burdensome on the country. Priyanka’s brief but smart innings during the campaign once again led to speculation of her becoming full time active in politics. On the other hand, Rahul Gandhi has posed himself to fully control the Congress affairs under guidance from her mother. Compared to last general elections, when he was confined to campaigning in his own constituency; this time the scion of Gandhi dynasty moved throughout the country addressing about 110 public meetings. His acceptability within party, rather the latter’s reliance on him, is beyond doubt. His ability to convert popularity and acceptability into votes for Congress will be tested when the EVMs will speak about the mood of the electorate. The challenge before Rahul Gandhi is to improve Congress tally significantly from the time when late Narsimha Rao resigned from Party President’s post, leaving behind demoralized organization with 135 Lok Sabha members. The mother-son duo has successfully enthused the grand old party since 1997 onwards; however, the quantum jump in its electoral strength remains a day dream.


In the entire election campaigning, BJP lacked the stewardship; thus impressing upon observers, the tallness of A. B. Vajpayee amongst saffron leaders. His successor completely lacked charm and liveliness, the attributes that successfully worked for the former Prime Minister to convert the crowd into valuable votes. BJP attempted to repeat history by creating an aura of decisiveness around Mr. Advani, while contradicting the same by projecting him as liberal in comparison to Narendra Modi. Ironically, BJP’s gigantic exercise to portray Advani as great leader destined to lift India’s fortunes resulted into increased acceptability of Narendra Modi within BJP’s fold. Gujrat Chief Minister also made most of the opportunity in his state, although his riot-stinted past refused to get off his back elsewhere. Outside Gujrat, it was the less charismatic ground level leaders who sustained the momentum for BJP. B. S. Yediurappa in Karnataka, Raman Singh in Chattisgarh, Shivraj Chauhan in Madhya Pradesh, Gopinath Munde in Maharashtra and such leaders in few other states would eventually pull the BJP tally close to the 2004 mark. Dominance of state politics is coming to the rescue of the saffron party, which has failed to set an appealing agenda at the national level. Thus, the saffron party will remain in the reckoning in the future despite its sulking image among the political pundits. This impression of declining force gains currency as a result of total ineffectiveness of BJP’s core agenda before the people. Its allies too are sailing with it due to state level advantages and would act as check on it in case it forms the government at the centre.


The overall posturing by the political parties during electioneering shows tilt towards rhetoric of Left to the Centre policies. While, Congress leadership harped upon its pro-poor projects like NREGA and accused the BJP-led NDA of being pro-rich, the later publicly admitted its folly of pitching the ‘India Shining’ campaign in 2004 general elections. BSP leader Ms. Mayawati also brought into focus the economic disparities in the country and blamed it for Congress rule since independence. She proudly claimed that her party does not run on the money received from rich industrialists but on the basis of donations collected by party workers throughout the country. She also promised to ensure reservation for economically deprived within the upper castes. BSP is making a robust effort countrywide to make Mayawati next Prime Minister on the plank of Dalit Ki Beti. The left parties as usual reiterated its commitment for pro-worker, pro-farmer economic policies while its allies in some of the states banked upon populist measures like cheap rice, free TV sets and cash transfer schemes. If words of the leaders from all political parties are taken seriously, the next government, no matter of which combination, should not make an attempt for further liberalization of country’s economy. The Left parties cobbled together alliances with regional players in few important states and pitted for emergence of strong Third Front in post-electoral scenario. The initial sarcasm about formation of Third Front soon converted into serious attacks on such possibilities by both the Congress and the BJP. Emergence of such possibility also created waves in UPA and NDA as the smaller parties looked for an opportunity to break free from their national partners.

Surprisingly, the volcanic developments in Pakistan found little mention and rabidly anti-Islamabad parties like BJP-Shiv Sena did not try to capitalize on the eminent danger to India from the potential resurgence of Taliban in the neighborhood. Is it a sign of Indian polity coming to an age vis-à-vis dealing with Pakistan and responding to threats emanating from it? Or is it an expose of the cluelessness of Indian political parties over unprecedented developments across the western border? On the other hand, the left campaign was aptly focused on its opposition to strategic ties with the United States, including the nuclear deal, wherein it tried to put the UPA government in the dock. The Congress, however, opted for silence over the issue. It did not champion the reasons and causes for entering into nuclear deal except Dr. Manmohan Singh’s reply to the Left in couple of meetings. Plight of Tamils in Sri Lanka has been the central issue in Tamil Nadu, where there were no contrasting opinions on it. Each of the political formations accused the other of shading false tears and promised to make efforts to ease the situation in northern Sri Lanka.


Apart from the agendas and issues that the parties tried to project at the national level, performance of respective state governments remained the focal point of campaigning in most of the states. It was obvious for the states of A.P. and Orissa, where assembly elections were held simultaneously. However, several other Chief Ministers, for example Nitish Kumar in Bihar, V. S. Achyutanandan in Kerala, Yediurappa in Karnataka and Bhoopinder Singh Hooda in Haryana also took the election as referendum on their respective government’s performance. In few states, the local issues and new leaders too dominated the campaign to the extent of influencing voters’ decision. Prominent among them are Raj Thackrey’s anti-north Indian stand, demands for separate Telangana and Gorakhaland, cine-star Chiranjivee’s political launching in A.P. are some of the prominent local matters emerged in the electioneering this season. Election results will reveal which of these factors dominate the mindset of Indian voters. The results can also throw up surprises and new trends as they have done for more than once in Indian politics.