Thursday, January 16, 2014
Understanding the Nature and Scope of Anti-Corruption Movement in India
Thursday, June 3, 2010
China Since Tiananmen
CCP leadership was sympathetic to these demands, except for immediate political reforms. Further, political liberalization for attaining western style democracy was completely ruled out. Deng Xiaoping’s resolute handling of 1989 protesters was based on the theoretical framework that could be summarised as follows: China is witnessing the primary stage of socialism, which will continue for many more years; Development of forces of production is the utmost task before the CCP and the Chinese people and; only CCP’s supremacy can ensure political stability required for massive economic development. Deng Xiaoping was convinced that loosening of CCP’s authority would pave way for chaotic years, which would hamper the economic modernization programme. He knew that CCP’s legitimacy would come from his economic modernization programme, which had doubled the per capita income of Chinese people in one decade.
1. Minqi, Li, China: Six Years After Tiananmen, in History as it Happened: Selected articles from Monthly Review 1949-1998, compiled by Ortiz, Bobbye S. And Tilak D. Gupta, third impression July 2006, Cornerstone publications.
2. http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTOE60E06S20100115
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Small Is Not Necessarily Beautiful
1. Freedom struggle and immediate aftermath of independence was dominated by the thinking that nation-state was the unit for development. This understanding was shackled in early 1950s with movements for linguistic states wherein development and language were seen as two sides of the same coin. As a result, states were reorganized mostly on the basis of language. Andhra Pradesh was the first state created on linguistic basis in 1953 as a consequence of VishalAndhra movement. In 1960, Maharashtra and Gujarat were formed, while Tamilnadu came into existence in 1969 and Karnataka in 1973. Punjab and Haryana were created in 1966 and Himachal Pradesh earned the statehood in 1971. Manipur, Meghalaya and Tripura became states in 1972 and Nagaland came into existence as a state in 1973. During this period, Orissa and Kerala were also reorganized on the basis of linguistic unity. Arunachal Pradesh and Mizoram were granted full statehood in 1987. Later on Goa was also converted from Union Territory status to the state.
2. The states created on the basis of language produced uneven level of developments in its regions, thus invoking the feeling of deprivation, and even exploitation, in the underdeveloped areas of these states. As a result, development has been dissociated from the language and linked to the region. This was the basis for creation of Chattisgarh, Uttarakhand and Jharkhand in the year 2000. Demands for new states are also based on similar conception of deliberate underdevelopment of the regions in various states. These demands prominently include creation of Telangana, Seemanchal (in Bihar), Vidarbha, Maru Bhumi (In Rajasthan), Budelkhand (parts of UP and MP), Harit Pradesh (in UP), Poorvanchal (Eastern UP and parts of Bihar), Bodoland, Gorakhaland, Tulunadu (parts of Karnataka and Kerala), Saurashtra, Kodagu (in Karnataka), Vindhya Pradesh (in MP) etc.
3. The case is not as simple as it is being presented and there are various aspects related to demands for new states. Firstly, there are examples where people of particular regions are united in demanding separate statehood based on their understanding of reasons for their underdevelopment. Secondly, higher castes and class in some regions are trying to establish their supremacy taking advantage of demands for separate statehoods. The powerful castes have accepted democracy as a sort of compromise as they are hapless due to their small numeric strength. In bigger states, the powerful castes were forced for compromises by the masses. However, the extent of mass assertion and nature of compromises by powerful castes is a matter of debate. Creation of smaller states promises more independence to powerful castes, mainly due to comparatively greater numerical presence of these castes in the concerned regions. Haryana exemplifies this phenomenon. The post 1991 globalization has produced and strengthened bourgeoisie at the regional level whereas bourgeoisie was concentrated in few areas erstwhile. Increasing demands for newer states is result of emergence of regional bourgeoisie.
4. A contrasting phenomenon, symbolized in the demand for Harit Pradesh, is also emerging wherein comparatively developed region in the state wants to separate themselves for better administration of their resources and development potentials. If such regions lacked quality administration, how have they emerged as better off in the state? The demand for Harit Pradesh, as articulated by Ajit Singh, clearly demonstrates rise of powerful castes and its efforts to strengthen the grip on power.
5. To conclude, it is not correct that powerful castes and class have lost the leverage in existing centre-state structure. At the same time, small states will definitely help powerful castes and class to strengthen their hold on power structure.
I will neither agree with this theorization nor reject it. Constraints of newspaper article are evident and the statement that smaller states suits regional bourgeoisie needs interrogation. Instead, I would like to share some instant thoughts on the subject.
1. Idea of reorganization of states on linguistic basis captured imagination during the freedom struggle itself and Congress party promised the same several times during pre-independence period. It was propagated more to dismiss regional fears of cultural and linguistic domination of Hindi, particularly raised due to Gandhiji’s emphasis on making it the national language. Another major consideration was conducting the government business in the language known to states’ subjects. The issue of better administration was, thus, addressed by bringing the areas of one language in one state to the extent possible. This objective was partially achieved by reorganization of states, however, the courts and higher bureaucracy continued to function using English as medium.
2. Post-independence, the Congress showed reluctance for reorganization of states and people’s movements compelled the central government to take steps in this direction. If we characterize the Congress regime as conglomeration of bourgeoisie and feudal elements, it could be derived that the bourgeoisie of that time was reluctant for reorganization of states on linguistic basis. This, however, does not mean that in the present context demands for smaller states are not spearheaded by the regional bourgeoisie.
3. In my observation, particularly in terms of demand for Vidarbha, certain sections are more zealous for separate state. Prominent among them are politicians, contractors and traders. The politicians visualize their bigger influence and role in smaller states as they are overshadowed by their counterparts from the richer and developed parts in existing state. In Vidarbha, politicians across parties including the Dalit parties favor separate state. The contractors and traders face the heat from their counterparts in the richer and developed parts of the state. They wish to limit role of the latter by creating separate state entity where they could grab all the government contracts and trade policies favorable to them. Politicians, contractors and traders from different castes demonstrate unity of purpose with this regard.
4. On the contrary, there has been example of Uttarakhand wherein demand for separate statehood was spearheaded by Upper castes as a reaction to OBC-Dalit dominated politics of united U.P. The upper castes are in majority in Uttarakhand. In Chattisgarh, upper caste politicians from the region who influenced united M.P’s politics for many years, found themselves sidelined by the masses. The new political leadership has begun to call the shots in Chattisgarh soon after its creation. The same can be said about Jharkhand.
5. States of very small size are more prone to political instability; e.g Goa and north-eastern states. The big and medium size states have provided relatively stable governments with Jharkhand as the major exception.
6. Jharkhand and Chattisgarh have seen surge in Maoist activities after their creation. The Maoists support demands for Telangana, Vidarbha and Gorakhaland.
The contemporary movements or demands present no blueprints, single or multiple, for development of desired state. Mere creation of more states can result into increased administrative costs adding to further deprivation of these underdeveloped regions. There are two important points that need intense deliberations before demanding separate statehood for underdeveloped region. First, discourse on poverty elimination is largely missing while discussing developmental issues. Similarly, issue of devolution of maximum possible powers to local governmental bodies remains unaddressed. Unless these issues of immense importance are neglected by the proponents of smaller states, there is strong ground to uphold Dhananjay Rai’s assessment that such demands serve interest of regional bourgeoisie.
Monday, May 25, 2009
MANDATE 2009: TRIUMPH OF NEO-NEHRUISM
On 16th May 2009, Dr. Manmohan Singh became the only incumbent Prime Minister sans Pt. Jawaharlal Nehru to win second consecutive term after completing full 5 years in office. Continuation of Congress dominated alliance in the government reminds one of the Nehru era in more than one way. Stability and development were the issues on which people preferred Congress over other parties in the post-independence years. It was seen as a major force against Hindu and Muslim communalism as Nehru’s commitment to secularism was unquestionable. The umbrella character of its organization brought under it majority of people from almost all castes and religions as no one wanted to miss the opportunity to progress. These were the reasons enough for comprehensive Congress victories in first 3 general elections under Nehru’s premiership. He neither required radical economic agenda nor passionate appeals of social justice to garner support of the masses.
Dr. Singh’s 5-years tenure somehow succeeded in generating similar impression about the ruling combine among the masses. His government enjoyed relative stability, except the brief turmoil over confidence vote on nuclear deal at the fag end of the term, thanks to the solid support of 61 Left MPs. The previous governments since 1989 were comparatively more unstable, including the NDA regime, as uncertainty always prevailed over the confidence of completing full tenure. The mandate of 2004 was to forge broader unity against communal forces, which had been duly respected in last five years. The Congress unexpectedly showed less vacillation over the communal issues as was evident from its adherence to Sethusamudram project in spite of saffron bogey of destroying mythical Ram Sethu. Also, it took up the issue of deprivation of Muslim community and turned the BJP’s arguments on its head about minority appeasement. It also created the impression that inclusive growth rather than sectarian interests has been its purpose of governance. It wisely adopted conciliatory approach towards left’s principled opposition to financial liberalization. Congress never took the left head on over these issues, thus, denying the latter credit of saving Indian economy when many capitalist systems in the world face the crisis. As a result, it was Dr. Manmohan Singh and his team that received praises for delicately balancing the economy and viewed as hope for preventing any collapse in the future.
Significant increase in Congress seats in the Parliament is also the result of renewed approach towards party functioning that brought fresh air into the organizational machinery. Credit for this undoubtedly goes to steadfast leadership of Sonia Gandhi. Once dismissed as political novice, she has now emerged as tallest political leader of her generation. Congress has succeeded in regaining confidence of poor and middle classes as its leaders kept on harping upon the pro-poor and pro-farmer approach of UPA government. The programs like NREGA and loan waiver scheme came handy for convincing propaganda during the electioneering. The party calibrated its approach in such a fashion that the pro-poor appeal never turned against rich or becoming rich. Sonia has developed the skill of connecting with masses in the same terms as her mother-in-law used to do in her heydays. Realizing that it was the poor people who constituted Indira Gandhi’s real political strength, Sonia has focused on connecting the Congress organization with them. However, it was perhaps the only imitation on her part of
Various thoughtful decisions by Ms. Gandhi over the years have benefitted the Congress in the long term. Division of party and government was the first major change introduced by her, which has been total departure from the practice of Indira-Rajiv period. A team of powerful general secretaries like Rahul Gandhi, Digvijay Singh, Virappa Moily, Ashok Gahlot etc remained out of central government and concentrated on organizational functioning. Ms. Gandhi never hesitated to send the influential leaders to state level affairs despite their reluctance as was evident from Gulam Nabi Azad’s posting in J&K and making Pranab Mukherjee West Bengal PCC chief. This way, she not only exerted the superiority but also signaled displeasure against coterie politics. Neglect of veteran like Arjun Singh further made clear her preference to dynamic performance over sycophancy. Today Congress has various leaders at the national level who are generally accepted as good at governance like Dr. Manmohan Singh, Pranab Mukherjee, P. Chidambaram, A. K. Anthony etc. This approach has resulted into Congress projecting itself as team of capable leaders in the government and the party, a shift from over- centralized politics of 1970s and 1980s.
More significantly, Congress is back to the Nehruvian days when many state leaders were popular enough to win elections on their own. They have been given free hand and stability by the High-command, which has yielded significant returns. The examples in sight are Y.S. Rajshekhara Reddy in Andhra, Ashok Gahlot in Rajsthan, Sheila Dixit in Delhi, Bhoopender Hooda in Haryana and Tarun Gogoi in Assam. This decentralization of functioning has helped the party in ensuring proper division of labor and responsibility. The last, but not the least, change brought in by Ms. Gandhi was packing the old generation of Congressmen to Raj Bhavans of different states, thus providing opportunity to generation next in the Congress. Many of the influential leaders of the Indira-Rajiv era, who are alive today, are appointed as Governor like N. D. Tiwaree, Balram Jakhar, Prabha Rau etc. Octogenarian leader like Karunakaran was forced to sit at home calmly, while irritants like Bhajan Lal, Buta Singh and Natwar Singh were compelled to leave the party. This opened up space for Rahul Gandhi’s younger team to prove its potential.
The steady approach to blossom Rahul into leadership role is much similar to Nehru’s method towards Indira, wherein she was made to learn the basics of politics for years. This has also paid in its own way as criticism of promoting dynastic rule became ineffective and people were impressed with the hard work undertaken by Gandhi-duo to usher another term for Dr. Manmohan Singh. Congressmen must understand that the mandate is also for providing opportunity to non-Gandhi person to govern the country. Any attempts by coterie and sycophants to turn back the clock will surely be disliked by the people. Sonia and Rahul must guard themselves from such phenomena.
There are few more important things the Congress must reflect upon. Despite significant increase in number of seats, Congress received only 2% more votes than 2004 even when it has contested more parliamentary seats. It is still far behind the 49% vote share won under Rajiv Gandhi in 1984. There had been division of opposition votes in states of A.P. Tamil Nadu, Haryana and
Monday, May 18, 2009
ELECTION 2009: SUMMARY OF THE CAMPAIGN TRAILS
With the last ballot on 13th May in 86 constituencies that went to poll in the fifth phase of the general elections for the 15th Lok Sabha, the two month long political mega-event has reached its penultimate stage. It becomes imperative to look into political phenomena as it unfolded during campaigning, people who hogged limelight and perceptions about the entire exercise. Once election results are out, these matters will be discussed through the prism of outcome, risking the objectivity.
Momentum of development plank, which Congress claimed to have generated after the last round of Assembly elections, did not sustain for long as the ruling party preferred to engage principal opposition on the issue of weak and strong Prime Minister. The Congress troika of Manmohan Singh-Sonia Gandhi-Rahul Gandhi launched counter-attack on L. K. Advani over his communal politics and erstwhile NDA’s failed approach to tackle terrorism. Congress cleverly killed two birds in one stone as its offensive made the BJP’s main attack on UPA government ineffective while the real issues of development, livelihood and security never surfaced in the debate between country’s two major political parties. For the first time, Indian voters witnessed the political avatar of incumbent Prime Minister as he was fielded by the Congress strategist to attack the right and the left alike. Congress also made it clear that it would not replace Dr. Manmohan Singh as Prime Ministerial candidate. Why should it spring up another leader in the rank which can risk eventual take over of the party by its first family’s generation next? Meantime, Dr. Singh did a favor to Indian democracy by casting his vote in Assam where he is enrolled as voter. Even though he acknowledged his inability to cast vote in the Assam assembly elections two years back, no one remembers whether he ever voted for the 14th Lok Sabha in 2004.
BJP’s desperation for issues to corner the ruling establishment was evident from a fact that in the mid of the campaign it focused on question of bringing back the black money stocked in Swiss Bank by some influential Indians. The issue was initially raised by left parties, which has also been mentioned in CPI-M’s manifesto. Left parties immediately pointed out BJP’s double standard on the issue when it showed how erstwhile NDA government opened up new routes to sneak away black currency in foreign banks. Realizing the appeal of the cause, Congress played safe by pledging to take steps to recover smuggled money. Political parties’ posturing over the issue resulted in emergence of consensus on the need to bring illegally transported money back in the country. Civil society’s pressure and Left’s concerted efforts on this issue, in deed, can help in achieving concrete results once new government takes the charge. While Congress attempted to maintain distance from charges of shielding corrupt people; CBI’s decision to let off Quatrorchi, an accused in the Bofors case, put the party in the dock. Impact of it on the electorate is, however, questionable given the oldness of the case.
Stripped of concrete issues, BJP ultimately championed the case of Varun Gandhi, who vitiated the electioneering with hate speeches against Muslims. The right-wing party banked upon the possibility of communal polarization to boost its prospects in parts of Uttar Pradesh, if not in the entire country. Nationwide condemnation of Varun Gandhi’s vitriolic attack against Muslim community proved the point that merely belonging to Gandhi family would not usher upon you the leadership status; rather, it should be firmly supplemented by respect for all religions and people as well as sobriety in behavior. In sharp contrast, Priyanka Gandhi scored a political point in dignified and graceful manner when she advised her cousin to read and understand Gita. She also silenced Narendra Modi over his criticism that Congress has grown old, hence burdensome on the country. Priyanka’s brief but smart innings during the campaign once again led to speculation of her becoming full time active in politics. On the other hand, Rahul Gandhi has posed himself to fully control the Congress affairs under guidance from her mother. Compared to last general elections, when he was confined to campaigning in his own constituency; this time the scion of Gandhi dynasty moved throughout the country addressing about 110 public meetings. His acceptability within party, rather the latter’s reliance on him, is beyond doubt. His ability to convert popularity and acceptability into votes for Congress will be tested when the EVMs will speak about the mood of the electorate. The challenge before Rahul Gandhi is to improve Congress tally significantly from the time when late Narsimha Rao resigned from Party President’s post, leaving behind demoralized organization with 135 Lok Sabha members. The mother-son duo has successfully enthused the grand old party since 1997 onwards; however, the quantum jump in its electoral strength remains a day dream.
In the entire election campaigning, BJP lacked the stewardship; thus impressing upon observers, the tallness of A. B. Vajpayee amongst saffron leaders. His successor completely lacked charm and liveliness, the attributes that successfully worked for the former Prime Minister to convert the crowd into valuable votes. BJP attempted to repeat history by creating an aura of decisiveness around Mr. Advani, while contradicting the same by projecting him as liberal in comparison to Narendra Modi. Ironically, BJP’s gigantic exercise to portray Advani as great leader destined to lift India’s fortunes resulted into increased acceptability of Narendra Modi within BJP’s fold. Gujrat Chief Minister also made most of the opportunity in his state, although his riot-stinted past refused to get off his back elsewhere. Outside Gujrat, it was the less charismatic ground level leaders who sustained the momentum for BJP. B. S. Yediurappa in Karnataka, Raman Singh in Chattisgarh, Shivraj Chauhan in Madhya Pradesh, Gopinath Munde in Maharashtra and such leaders in few other states would eventually pull the BJP tally close to the 2004 mark. Dominance of state politics is coming to the rescue of the saffron party, which has failed to set an appealing agenda at the national level. Thus, the saffron party will remain in the reckoning in the future despite its sulking image among the political pundits. This impression of declining force gains currency as a result of total ineffectiveness of BJP’s core agenda before the people. Its allies too are sailing with it due to state level advantages and would act as check on it in case it forms the government at the centre.
The overall posturing by the political parties during electioneering shows tilt towards rhetoric of Left to the Centre policies. While, Congress leadership harped upon its pro-poor projects like NREGA and accused the BJP-led NDA of being pro-rich, the later publicly admitted its folly of pitching the ‘India Shining’ campaign in 2004 general elections. BSP leader Ms. Mayawati also brought into focus the economic disparities in the country and blamed it for Congress rule since independence. She proudly claimed that her party does not run on the money received from rich industrialists but on the basis of donations collected by party workers throughout the country. She also promised to ensure reservation for economically deprived within the upper castes. BSP is making a robust effort countrywide to make Mayawati next Prime Minister on the plank of Dalit Ki Beti. The left parties as usual reiterated its commitment for pro-worker, pro-farmer economic policies while its allies in some of the states banked upon populist measures like cheap rice, free TV sets and cash transfer schemes. If words of the leaders from all political parties are taken seriously, the next government, no matter of which combination, should not make an attempt for further liberalization of country’s economy. The Left parties cobbled together alliances with regional players in few important states and pitted for emergence of strong Third Front in post-electoral scenario. The initial sarcasm about formation of Third Front soon converted into serious attacks on such possibilities by both the Congress and the BJP. Emergence of such possibility also created waves in UPA and NDA as the smaller parties looked for an opportunity to break free from their national partners.
Surprisingly, the volcanic developments in Pakistan found little mention and rabidly anti-Islamabad parties like BJP-Shiv Sena did not try to capitalize on the eminent danger to India from the potential resurgence of Taliban in the neighborhood. Is it a sign of Indian polity coming to an age vis-à-vis dealing with Pakistan and responding to threats emanating from it? Or is it an expose of the cluelessness of Indian political parties over unprecedented developments across the western border? On the other hand, the left campaign was aptly focused on its opposition to strategic ties with the United States, including the nuclear deal, wherein it tried to put the UPA government in the dock. The Congress, however, opted for silence over the issue. It did not champion the reasons and causes for entering into nuclear deal except Dr. Manmohan Singh’s reply to the Left in couple of meetings. Plight of Tamils in Sri Lanka has been the central issue in Tamil Nadu, where there were no contrasting opinions on it. Each of the political formations accused the other of shading false tears and promised to make efforts to ease the situation in northern Sri Lanka.
Apart from the agendas and issues that the parties tried to project at the national level, performance of respective state governments remained the focal point of campaigning in most of the states. It was obvious for the states of A.P. and Orissa, where assembly elections were held simultaneously. However, several other Chief Ministers, for example Nitish Kumar in Bihar, V. S. Achyutanandan in Kerala, Yediurappa in Karnataka and Bhoopinder Singh Hooda in Haryana also took the election as referendum on their respective government’s performance. In few states, the local issues and new leaders too dominated the campaign to the extent of influencing voters’ decision. Prominent among them are Raj Thackrey’s anti-north Indian stand, demands for separate Telangana and Gorakhaland, cine-star Chiranjivee’s political launching in A.P. are some of the prominent local matters emerged in the electioneering this season. Election results will reveal which of these factors dominate the mindset of Indian voters. The results can also throw up surprises and new trends as they have done for more than once in Indian politics.